Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday


	Max Purcell		Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

	1	2
	1.72	2.00
	1.72	2.00
	1.78	2.08
	1.71	2.01	Watch
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.68	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.04)	2.03 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Purcell
54.2%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Purcell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Purcell's performance.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Purcell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Max Purcell - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Purcell is ranked ATP: 803. Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 272.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pacheco Mendez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Purcell
ITF Tournaments
01.09.26	Kristjan Tamm - Max Purcell	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
27.08.26	Max Purcell - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Max Purcell - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Igor Marcondes - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Max Purcell - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?LWWL
- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
28.08.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Miguel Tobon - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Paul Jubb - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWL

Max Purcell - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide