Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday


	Sebastian Baez		Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.6	2.44
	1.55	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.5	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 (1.53)	2.4 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
61.1%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Sebastian Baez - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 53. Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 292.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pacheco Mendez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Baez could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.89%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Learner Tien - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Zizou Bergs - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL
- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
29.07.26	Denis Shapovalov - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLW

Upcoming Matches