Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Maxim Mrva		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	2.63	1.44
	2.25	1.57
	2.75	1.39
	2.39	1.5	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.63	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.07)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
36.5%

Alex Molcan
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxim Mrva's form might have worsened.

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Molcan's recent form is better than expected.

The ML Model estimate for Maxim Mrva aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Alex Molcan aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Maxim Mrva - Alex Molcan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Molcan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alex Molcan will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 305. Molcan is ranked ATP: 200.

Mrva is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Molcan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Molcan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Maxim Mrva - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Paul Jubb - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Petr Nesterov - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Federico Iannaccone - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Maxim Mrva - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW
- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Alexandre Muller - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Alex Molcan - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Alex Molcan - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWLW

Maxim Mrva - Alex Molcan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide