Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday


	Petr Nesterov		Maxim Mrva

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.69
	2.19	1.73
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
44.2%

Maxim Mrva
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Petr Nesterov - Maxim Mrva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nesterov will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Mrva will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 477. Mrva is ranked ATP: 305.

Nesterov is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Mrva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mrva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxim Mrva - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.91%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Tom Gentzsch - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Petr Nesterov - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Lui Maxted - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWL
- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Federico Iannaccone - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Maxim Mrva - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Ioannis Xilas - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Petr Brunclik - Maxim Mrva	Canceled ✺
03.03.26	Svyatoslav Gulin - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWL?W

Petr Nesterov - Maxim Mrva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide