Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Liberec, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Maxim Mrva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.76	2.02
	1.81	2.04
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.78	2.01
	1.73	1.97	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)	1.99 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
53.1%

Maxim Mrva
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Joel Schwaerzler - Maxim Mrva Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Mrva will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 185. Mrva is ranked ATP: 303.

Schwaerzler has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Mrva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Schwaerzler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.2%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Kitzbuhel
20.07.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
13.07.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Federico Bondioli - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Maxim Mrva - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Maxim Mrva - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Maxim Mrva - Federico Bondioli	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Maxim Mrva - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Maxim Mrva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

Joel Schwaerzler - Maxim Mrva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide