Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Prague, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Maxim Mrva		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.9	1.8
	1.85	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.9
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.85	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.65)	1.79 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
48.3%

Mikhail Kukushkin
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maxim Mrva's performance.

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mikhail Kukushkin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maxim Mrva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikhail Kukushkin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Maxim Mrva - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mrva will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mrva: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mrva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 619. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 165.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mrva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kukushkin might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Maxim Mrva - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.04.25	Maxim Mrva - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Maxim Mrva - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.04.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Matej Dodig - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
18.04.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Elmer Moller	Moller E. walkover ✺
15.04.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Adam Walton - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Kei Nishikori - Mikhail Kukushkin	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
12.03.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 ?WL?W

Maxim Mrva - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide