Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	Matej Dodig		Maxim Mrva

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.57	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.29	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.54)	2.2 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
57.8%

Maxim Mrva
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Matej Dodig - Maxim Mrva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Mrva will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dodig (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Dodig (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Mrva (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dodig (votes: 3 - 75%). Mrva (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 320. Mrva is ranked ATP: 758.

Recent matches Dodig is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mrva is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dodig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Matej Dodig - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Hynek Barton - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Pierluigi Basile - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
17.03.25	Matej Dodig - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWL
- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Maxim Mrva - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Ergi Kirkin - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.25	Florent Bax - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Lorenzo Rottoli - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	Maxim Mrva - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLWW

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