Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Matteo Gigante

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.46	1.48	Watch
	2.51	1.49	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.64	1.4	Watch
	2.46	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (1.71)	1.49 ↓ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
37.7%

Matteo Gigante
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mikhail Kukushkin's form might have worsened.

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Gigante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Gigante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	0%	89.7%

Mikhail Kukushkin - Matteo Gigante Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Gigante (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Matteo Gigante will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Gigante will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Kukushkin (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Gigante (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 162. Gigante is ranked ATP: 206.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Gigante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gigante will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kukushkin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Adam Walton - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Kei Nishikori - Mikhail Kukushkin	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
12.03.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Bor Artnak	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Mitchell Krueger - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 L?WWW
- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
10.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Gigante M. retired ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.03.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Matteo Gigante	Kukushkin M. retired

Mikhail Kukushkin - Matteo Gigante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide