Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday


	Maxim Mrva		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.87	1.44
			Watch
			Watch
	2.73	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.62)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
34%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Maxim Mrva - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Mrva will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 501. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 126.

Mrva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Basilashvili is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Basilashvili may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Basilashvili will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Basilashvili will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Maxim Mrva - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Moez Echargui - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
01.07.25	Maxim Mrva - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Maxim Mrva - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Maxim Mrva - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLW
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Nikoloz Basilashvili	3:1 ✺
01.07.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
26.06.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Juan Pablo Ficovich	3:1 ✺
25.06.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWW

Maxim Mrva - Nikoloz Basilashvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide