Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Maximilian Homberg		Aziz Ouakaa

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.78	2.06
	1.21	3.96	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.66	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)	2.39 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximilian Homberg
59.8%

Aziz Ouakaa
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximilian Homberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Aziz Ouakaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Homberg than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Ouakaa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Maximilian Homberg - Aziz Ouakaa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ouakaa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Homberg is ranked ATP: 961. Ouakaa is ranked ATP: 676.

In recent matches, Homberg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ouakaa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Homberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximilian Homberg
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Matthew Summers - Maximilian Homberg	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Maximilian Homberg - Michael Bassem Sobhy	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Maximilian Homberg - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Nikita Bilozertsev - Maximilian Homberg	Bilozertsev N. retired ✺
13.11.25	Hazem Naw - Maximilian Homberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWL?W
- Aziz Ouakaa
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Ben Jones	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Oren Vasser	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Jelle Sels - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Tom Zeuch	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Kelsey Stevenson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW

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