Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: AMERSFOORT (NETHERLANDS), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 19 July 2023, Wednesday


	Maximilian Marterer		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.27	1.6
	2.31	1.64
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.87)	1.65 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximilian Marterer
43.3%

Jakub Mensik
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximilian Marterer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maximilian Marterer's form might have worsened.

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jakub Mensik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximilian Marterer than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maximilian Marterer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Maximilian Marterer - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Marterer will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Mensik will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Marterer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximilian Marterer
ATP Challenger
18.07.23	Maximilian Marterer - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Maximilian Marterer - Franco Agamenone	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.23	Alexander Bublik - Maximilian Marterer	3:0 ✺
06.07.23	Maximilian Marterer - Michael Mmoh	3:0 ✺
03.07.23	Maximilian Marterer - Borna Gojo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Challenger
18.07.23	Manuel Guinard - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
14.07.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
12.07.23	Jakub Mensik - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Jakub Mensik - Kyrian Jacquet	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Jakub Mensik - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL

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