Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday


	Rio Noguchi		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.68	2.06
	1.6	2.22
	1.73	2
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.69	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.01)	2.07 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
55.1%

Joel Schwaerzler
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Noguchi's performance.

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joel Schwaerzler might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Rio Noguchi - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 227. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 254.

Noguchi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Schwaerzler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.15%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Marat Sharipov - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Sanhui Shin - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	James Duckworth - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLW
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Lorenzo Giustino	Schwaerzler J. J. walkover ✺
07.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Luka Mikrut - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?WWLL

Rio Noguchi - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide