Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday


	Maximus Jones		Oskari Paldanius

	1	2
			Watch
	2.30	1.53
	2.28	1.54	Watch
	2.34	1.65
	2.26	1.57	Watch
	2.20	1.65
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.15	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.06)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximus Jones
41.4%

Oskari Paldanius
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximus Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Oskari Paldanius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maximus Jones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oskari Paldanius than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oskari Paldanius, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maximus Jones - Oskari Paldanius Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jones is ranked ATP: 489. Paldanius is ranked ATP: 824.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Jones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Paldanius is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Paldanius will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximus Jones
ATP Challenger
31.08.26	Alastair Gray - Maximus Jones	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Maximus Jones - Ilya Ivashka	Jones M. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Maximus Jones	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Maximus Jones - Kokoro Isomura	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Maximus Jones - Ryota Tanuma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 W?LWW
- Oskari Paldanius
ATP Challenger
31.08.26	Oskari Paldanius - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	Marrero Curbelo I. Retired ✺
24.08.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Oskari Paldanius	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Oskari Paldanius - Peter Makk	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Amit Vales - Oskari Paldanius	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Oscar Weightman - Oskari Paldanius	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 ?LWWW

Maximus Jones - Oskari Paldanius: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide