Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Naples, FL 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Naples 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Maxwell Exsted		Tristan McCormick

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Maxwell Exsted
57.2%

Tristan McCormick
42.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxwell Exsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Tristan McCormick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Exsted is ranked ATP: 1074. McCormick is ranked ATP: 508.

McCormick is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

McCormick may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Exsted could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxwell Exsted
ITF Tournaments
12.12.25	Michiel De Krom - Maxwell Exsted	2:0 ✺
11.12.25	Dian Nedev - Maxwell Exsted	0:2 ✺
10.12.25	Maxwell Exsted - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Miha Vetrih - Maxwell Exsted	1:2 ✺
03.12.25	Mariano Tammaro - Maxwell Exsted	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWW
- Tristan McCormick
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Tristan McCormick - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Tristan McCormick - Joshua Sheehy	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Tristan McCormick - Dragos Nicolae Cazacu	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.01.26	Tristan McCormick - Adam Lynch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

Maxwell Exsted - Tristan McCormick