Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Canberra, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday


	Mayar Sherif		Himeno Sakatsume

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	2.92	1.36	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.15)	1.37 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mayar Sherif
32.1%

Himeno Sakatsume
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mayar Sherif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mayar Sherif's form might have worsened.

Himeno Sakatsume has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Himeno Sakatsume's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mayar Sherif than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mayar Sherif, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Himeno Sakatsume, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Mayar Sherif - Himeno Sakatsume Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Himeno Sakatsume will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Himeno Sakatsume will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sherif is ranked WTA: 107. Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 151.

Sherif is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sakatsume is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sakatsume may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sakatsume will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Sakatsume will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mayar Sherif
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Mayar Sherif - Elena Micic	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Mayar Sherif - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Mayar Sherif - Caroline Dolehide	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	Mayar Sherif - Eva Vedder	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Mayar Sherif - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW
- Himeno Sakatsume
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Tahlia Kokkinis - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Mary Stoiana	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Carol Young Suh Lee	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.11.25	Yeon Woo Ku - Himeno Sakatsume	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Himeno Sakatsume - Lanlana Tararudee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

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