Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	McCartney Kessler		Lucia Bronzetti

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.53	2.74
	1.51	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.54	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.37)	2.51 ↓ (3.1)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

McCartney Kessler
62%

Lucia Bronzetti
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

McCartney Kessler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that McCartney Kessler's form might have worsened.

Lucia Bronzetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucia Bronzetti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for McCartney Kessler than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for McCartney Kessler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucia Bronzetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

McCartney Kessler - Lucia Bronzetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kessler will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Bronzetti will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kessler: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kessler is ranked WTA: 50. Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 173.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bronzetti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kessler could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucia Bronzetti - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.65%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- McCartney Kessler
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - McCartney Kessler	Canceled
10.04.26	Elise Mertens - McCartney Kessler	Kessler M. Retired ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.26	McCartney Kessler - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Peyton Stearns - McCartney Kessler	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	McCartney Kessler - Janice Tjen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 ??LWW
- Lucia Bronzetti
ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Francesca Jones	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Eva Bennemann - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.04.26	Polina Kudermetova - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Matilde Jorge - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWW

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