Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Tom Paris

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
			Watch
	1.69	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.53)	2.11 ↓ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
55.9%

Tom Paris
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Tom Paris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Paris than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tom Paris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mikhail Kukushkin - Tom Paris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 259. Paris is ranked ATP: 306.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Paris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kukushkin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mikhail Kukushkin - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.44%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Enzo Couacaud	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Billy Harris - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL
- Tom Paris
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Tom Paris - Gregoire Barrere	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Tom Paris - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tom Paris - Robin Catry	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Tom Paris - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Tom Paris - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLL

Mikhail Kukushkin - Tom Paris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide