Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Pierre-Hugues Herbert		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.7	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.62)	2.08 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
55.3%

Mikhail Kukushkin
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Pierre Hugues Herbert - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kukushkin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Herbert is ranked ATP: 142. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 231.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Kukushkin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Herbert won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.03%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Mikhail Kukushkin - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.97%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
ATP Umag
21.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Enzo Couacaud	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Billy Harris - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Elias Ymer - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
15.02.22	Mikhail Kukushkin - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2
ATP Montpellier
31.01.22	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0
ATP Marseille
19.02.20	Mikhail Kukushkin - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2
ATP Paris
30.10.18	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide