Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kursumlijska Banja 3 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Mercedes Aristegui		Madelief Hageman

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Mercedes Aristegui
40.1%

Madelief Hageman
59.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes Aristegui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Madelief Hageman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes Aristegui than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madelief Hageman than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Aristegui is ranked WTA: 897. Hageman is ranked WTA: 872.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Aristegui may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mercedes Aristegui
ITF Tournaments
06.05.25	Maria Herazo Gonzalez - Mercedes Aristegui	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Saoirse Breen - Mercedes Aristegui	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Mercedes Aristegui - Carolina Kuhl	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Anastasia Mozgaleva - Mercedes Aristegui	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Mercedes Aristegui - Jessica Bertoldo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWWL
- Madelief Hageman
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Madelief Hageman - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Madelief Hageman - Polina Bakhmutkina	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Warda Ait el Bachir - Madelief Hageman	Ait el Bachir W. retired ✺
09.04.25	Madelief Hageman - Weronika Ewald	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Madelief Hageman - Rinon Okuwaki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WL?LW

Mercedes Aristegui - Madelief Hageman