Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday


	Mert Alkaya		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.4	1.47	Watch
	2.43	1.49	Watch
	2.65	1.46
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.28	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.23)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
37.5%

Andre Ilagan
62.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Mert Alkaya - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alkaya is ranked ATP: 317., and Ilagan is ranked ATP: 194..

Alkaya has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Ilagan have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ilagan is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Mert Alkaya - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.45%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Andre Ilagan - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.55%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
10.10.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Mert Alkaya - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Yan Cheng Chen - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Ko Suzuki - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Isaac Becroft - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWW
- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Andre Ilagan - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Andre Ilagan - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.10.26	Lloyd Harris - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Andre Ilagan - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
22.10.26	Yi Zhou - Andre Ilagan	✺

Mert Alkaya - Andre Ilagan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide