Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luan, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Luan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mert Alkaya		Nino Ehrenschneider

	1	2
			Watch
	1.59	2.18
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.58	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.44)	2.21 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
58.1%

Nino Ehrenschneider
41.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mert Alkaya's form might have worsened.

Nino Ehrenschneider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nino Ehrenschneider's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mert Alkaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nino Ehrenschneider than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nino Ehrenschneider, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mert Alkaya - Nino Ehrenschneider Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Alkaya is ranked ATP: 317., and Ehrenschneider is ranked ATP: 568..

Alkaya has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ehrenschneider is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Ehrenschneider may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Alkaya is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Yan Cheng Chen - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Ko Suzuki - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Isaac Becroft - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWWLL
- Nino Ehrenschneider
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Yuta Tomida	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Mukund Sasikumar	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Qian Sun	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Isaac Becroft	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Mert Alkaya - Yu Hsiou Hsu	✺

Mert Alkaya - Nino Ehrenschneider

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya - Nino Ehrenschneider Predictions

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