Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 35, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Mert Alkaya		Benjamin Pietri

	1	2
	1.31	3.3
	1.10	5.35	Watch
	1.31	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.42)	3.95 ↑ (2.57)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
76.1%

Benjamin Pietri
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mert Alkaya's performance.

Benjamin Pietri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benjamin Pietri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mert Alkaya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Pietri than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benjamin Pietri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mert Alkaya - Benjamin Pietri Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Alkaya (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mert Alkaya will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Alkaya (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alkaya is ranked ATP: 692. Pietri is ranked ATP: 1614.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alkaya is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Mert Alkaya - Luca Wiedenmann	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Mert Alkaya - Jesse Flores	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Michal Krajci - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Alexander Donski - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.08.25	Oscar Weightman - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Benjamin Pietri
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Toufik Sahtali - Benjamin Pietri	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Nikola Slavic - Benjamin Pietri	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Benjamin Pietri - Jonas Schaer	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Denis Klok - Benjamin Pietri	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Pijus Vaitiekunas - Benjamin Pietri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

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