Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Islamabad, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Mert Alkaya		Denis Yevseyev

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.8
	1.88	1.99
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.83	1.85	Watch
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.03)	1.85 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
49.6%

Denis Yevseyev
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mert Alkaya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denis Yevseyev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Mert Alkaya - Denis Yevseyev Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alkaya will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Yevseyev will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alkaya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alkaya is ranked ATP: 473. Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 404.

Now, both players are in good form.

Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Yevseyev will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Elias Ymer - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
27.11.25	Gian Luca Tanner - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Samir Iftikhar - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Mert Alkaya - Jannik Opitz	Alkaya M. retired ✺
31.10.25	Petr Brunclik - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWW?L
- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Denis Yevseyev - Johan Nikles	2:1 ✺
27.11.25	Denis Yevseyev - Muzammil Murtaza	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Denis Yevseyev - Ivan Gretskiy	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Jay Clarke - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Sebastian Sorger - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW

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