Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 21, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday


	Mert Alkaya		Ewen Lumsden

	1	2
	2	1.7
	2.11	1.7
	1.99	1.72	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.92	1.78	Watch
	1.92	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.83)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
47%

Ewen Lumsden
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ewen Lumsden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ewen Lumsden than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Mert Alkaya - Ewen Lumsden Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alkaya is ranked ATP: 762. Lumsden is ranked ATP: 654.

Alkaya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lumsden is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Ewen Lumsden - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
30.05.25	Pedro Araujo - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Mert Alkaya - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Hamza El Amine - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Gilbert Soares Klier Junior - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Mert Alkaya - Anas Mazdrashki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL
- Ewen Lumsden
ITF Tournaments
30.05.25	Tuncay Duran - Ewen Lumsden	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Carles Hernandez - Ewen Lumsden	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Samuele Seghetti - Ewen Lumsden	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Tuncay Duran - Ewen Lumsden	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Ewen Lumsden - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLW

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