Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 21, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday


	Pedro Araujo		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.62	2.25
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.6	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)	2.23 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Araujo
58.2%

Mert Alkaya
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Araujo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mert Alkaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Araujo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Pedro Araujo - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Araujo is ranked ATP: 440. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 762.

Araujo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alkaya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Araujo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Araujo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Araujo
ITF Tournaments
29.05.25	Pedro Araujo - Saveliy Ivanov	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	Pedro Araujo - Alaa Trifi	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Pedro Araujo - Tuncay Duran	Araujo P. retired ✺
21.05.25	Pedro Araujo - Lucas Marionneau	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Pedro Araujo - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WW?WL
- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
29.05.25	Mert Alkaya - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Hamza El Amine - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Gilbert Soares Klier Junior - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Mert Alkaya - Anas Mazdrashki	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Ezekiel Clark - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW

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