Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Luan 4, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Nino Ehrenschneider		Ryuki Matsuda

	1	2
	1.44	2.54
	1.46	2.50
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.46	2.65
	1.45	2.50	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.65)	2.55 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nino Ehrenschneider
63.8%

Ryuki Matsuda
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nino Ehrenschneider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nino Ehrenschneider's performance.

Ryuki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ryuki Matsuda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nino Ehrenschneider than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Nino Ehrenschneider - Ryuki Matsuda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ehrenschneider is ranked ATP: 561., and Matsuda is ranked ATP: 686..

Ehrenschneider has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Matsuda is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Matsuda could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ehrenschneider holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nino Ehrenschneider
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Taisei Ichikawa	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - James Van Herzeele	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Tomohiro Masabayashi	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Chase Ferguson - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWWLL
- Ryuki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Reiya Komagata	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Zichen Shao	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Moise Kouame - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Taiyo Yamanaka - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW

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