Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 12, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Mert Alkaya		Patrick Schoen

	1	2
	1.7	2.18
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.62	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)	2.18 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
57.3%

Patrick Schoen
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Patrick Schoen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Schoen than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Mert Alkaya - Patrick Schoen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alkaya is ranked ATP: 371. Schoen is ranked ATP: 831.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Schoen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alkaya could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mert Alkaya - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.72%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
01.04.26	Mert Alkaya - Benjamin Gusic Wan	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Mert Alkaya - Millen Hurrion	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Mert Alkaya - Carles Hernandez	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Mert Alkaya - Amir Omarkhanov	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Kasra Rahmani - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLW
- Patrick Schoen
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Patrick Schoen - Emilien Demanet	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Peter Makk - Patrick Schoen	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Patrick Schoen - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Mert Naci Turker - Patrick Schoen	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Milos Karol - Patrick Schoen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL

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