Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quimper, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Quimper 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Michael Geerts

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Roberto Carballes Baena
65.7%

Michael Geerts
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Michael Geerts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Geerts will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roberto Carballes Baena will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 147. Geerts is ranked ATP: 293.

In recent matches, Geerts has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carballes Baena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carballes Baena is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carballes Baena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Arthur Bouquier	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nerman Fatic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
22.01.26	Michael Geerts - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Michael Geerts - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Alexis Gautier - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Arthur Fery - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLWW

ATP Challenger
19.05.22	Michael Geerts - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2

Roberto Carballes Baena - Michael Geerts