Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manzanillo (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday


	Michael Geerts		Ernesto Escobedo

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.45	1.56
	2.3	1.54	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.29	1.58	Watch
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.85)	1.57 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
40.6%

Ernesto Escobedo
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.

Ernesto Escobedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ernesto Escobedo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ernesto Escobedo than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ernesto Escobedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Michael Geerts - Ernesto Escobedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Geerts will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Escobedo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Geerts: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 303. Escobedo is ranked ATP: 458.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Geerts could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Escobedo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.56%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
26.11.24	Michael Geerts - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Michael Geerts - Henry Searle	Canceled ✺
14.11.24	James Kent Trotter - Michael Geerts	Geerts M. retired ✺
12.11.24	Liam Draxl - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.11.24	Mats Rosenkranz - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 W??WL
- Ernesto Escobedo
ATP Challenger
26.11.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Ernesto Escobedo	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Ozan Baris - Ernesto Escobedo	Escobedo E. retired ✺
16.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Ernesto Escobedo	2:0 ✺
14.10.24	Kiranpal Pannu - Ernesto Escobedo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WL?LW

Michael Geerts - Ernesto Escobedo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide