Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Edas Butvilas		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	1.20	4.33	Watch
	1.20	4.10
	1.24	3.90	Watch
	1.2	4.1	Watch
	1.21	4.55
	1.21	3.94	Watch
	1.19	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	4.15 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
77.4%

Michael Geerts
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edas Butvilas's performance.

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Geerts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Butvilas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Geerts will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 203., and Geerts is ranked ATP: 344..

Recent results have been tough for Butvilas (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Geerts have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Geerts may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Butvilas is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Butvilas has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
24.09.26	Edas Butvilas - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Edas Butvilas	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Max Basing - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LW?LL
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Michael Geerts - Joao Domingues	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Michael Geerts - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Michael Geerts - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Michael Geerts - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts	0:2
27.08.25	Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts	2:0

Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide