Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CALGARY (CANADA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 8 November 2022, Tuesday


	Michael Geerts		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	2.2	1.61
	2.1	1.65
	2.1	1.72
	2.13	1.72
	2.11	1.75
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.01)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
44.1%

Valentin Vacherot
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	0%	93.7%

Michael Geerts - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: Valentin Vacherot will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Vacherot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ITF Tournaments
28.10.22	Michael Geerts - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
27.10.22	Michael Geerts - Milan Welte	2:0 ✺
26.10.22	Michael Geerts - Hugo Pontico	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
19.10.22	Michael Geerts - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.10.22	Quentin Halys - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWWLL
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
25.10.22	Valentin Vacherot - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
12.10.22	Juncheng Shang - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
11.10.22	Valentin Vacherot - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
05.10.22	Ernesto Escobedo - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
03.10.22	Evan Zhu - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW

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