Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Michael Geerts		Vladyslav Orlov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	2.95	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.36	2.95	Watch
	1.35	3.15
	1.36	2.89	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)	2.96 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
68.6%

Vladyslav Orlov
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Vladyslav Orlov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Geerts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vladyslav Orlov than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vladyslav Orlov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Michael Geerts - Vladyslav Orlov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 343., and Orlov is ranked ATP: 502..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Orlov could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Geerts carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.06%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Vladyslav Orlov - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.94%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Michael Geerts - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Michael Geerts - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Michael Geerts - Radu Albot	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Michael Geerts - Billy Blaydes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW
- Vladyslav Orlov
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Vladyslav Orlov - David Eichenseher	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Vladyslav Orlov - Mykyta Mashtakov	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Vladyslav Orlov - Borys Zgola	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Vladyslav Orlov - Dominik Kellovsky	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Vladyslav Orlov - David Wallechner	Orlov V. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWW?

Michael Geerts - Vladyslav Orlov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide