Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: YOKOHAMA (JAPAN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Michael Mmoh		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.9	1.82	Watch
	2	1.87
	2	1.88
	1.83	1.83
	1.81	1.95	Watch
	1.94	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.03)	1.85 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Mmoh
49%

Luca Nardi
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Mmoh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Mmoh than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Mmoh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Nardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Michael Mmoh - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Mmoh will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Mmoh is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nardi is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mmoh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Mmoh
ATP Challenger
22.11.23	Michael Mmoh - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
20.11.23	Michael Mmoh - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
06.11.23	Michael Mmoh - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
02.11.23	Michael Mmoh - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
31.10.23	Michael Mmoh - Steve Johnson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
22.11.23	Kalin Ivanovski - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
21.11.23	Yunseong Chung - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
17.11.23	Luca Nardi - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
17.11.23	Marc Polmans - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
15.11.23	August Holmgren - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW

Michael Mmoh - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide