Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki (Finland), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday


	Luca Nardi		August Holmgren

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.59	2.4
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	2.33 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
59.9%

August Holmgren
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Luca Nardi - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Holmgren will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holmgren: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 102. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 180.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Nardi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nardi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
06.11.24	Luca Nardi - Goncalo Oliveira	Oliveira G. retired ✺
30.10.24	Luca Nardi - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Luca Nardi - Javier Barranco Cosano	Nardi L. retired ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Luca Nardi - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
23.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 ?L?LL
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
06.11.24	August Holmgren - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	August Holmgren - Egor Gerasimov	Canceled ✺
ATP Stockholm
13.10.24	August Holmgren - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Alexander Ritschard - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.10.24	Valentin Royer - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.11.23	August Holmgren - Luca Nardi	1:2

Luca Nardi - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide