Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Pablo Llamas Ruiz		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.52	2.35	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.5	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)	2.43 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
61.8%

Luca Nardi
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Nardi will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 144., and Nardi is ranked ATP: 247..

Llamas Ruiz has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Llamas Ruiz holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Llamas Ruiz has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Nardi - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.09%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Raul Brancaccio - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Alex Bolt - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Luca Nardi - Federico Cina	Nardi L. Retired ✺
ATP Umag
11.07.26	Luca Nardi - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Luca Nardi - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Rio Noguchi - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Luca Nardi - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.06.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Luca Nardi	2:0
ITF Tournaments
17.09.21	Luca Nardi - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide