Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Luca Nardi		Andrea Guerrieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.57	2.33	Watch
	1.74	2.14
	1.65	2.19	Watch
	1.71	2.11	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.55	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.6)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
57.2%

Andrea Guerrieri
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Luca Nardi - Andrea Guerrieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Guerrieri will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 166. Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 227.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nardi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nardi could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Nardi - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.44%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Luca Nardi - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Rio Noguchi - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Luca Nardi - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Luca Nardi - Oscar Weightman	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Luca Nardi - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL
- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Andrea Guerrieri - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLWW

Luca Nardi - Andrea Guerrieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide