Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday


	Rei Sakamoto		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.42	1.58
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.33	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.3)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
39.8%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Rei Sakamoto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Alvaro Guillen Meza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Rei Sakamoto - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sakamoto will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guillen Meza: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guillen Meza (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 291. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 175.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sakamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guillen Meza might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakamoto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Rei Sakamoto - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Gauthier Onclin - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
02.06.25	Rei Sakamoto - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Rei Sakamoto - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Rei Sakamoto - Martin Klizan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 L?WWL
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Mariano Kestelboim	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.25	Andrea Collarini - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Zachary Svajda - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Canceled ✺
11.05.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.02.23	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Rei Sakamoto	1:2

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