Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Michele Ribecai		Jacopo Berrettini

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.63	2.39
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)	2.3 ↓ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
59.5%

Jacopo Berrettini
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jacopo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michele Ribecai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacopo Berrettini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Michele Ribecai - Jacopo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ribecai will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Berrettini will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ribecai is ranked ATP: 350. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 307.

In recent matches, Ribecai has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Berrettini has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ribecai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ribecai will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Michele Ribecai - Manas Manoj Dhamne	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Michele Ribecai - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Michele Ribecai - Federico Bondioli	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Matteo Martineau - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Saba Purtseladze - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW
- Jacopo Berrettini
ATP Challenger
31.03.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Jacopo Berrettini	Canceled ✺
23.03.26	Jacopo Berrettini - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Tom Gentzsch - Jacopo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Alex Rybakov - Jacopo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Mark Lajal - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?LLLL

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