Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florence, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Florence 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Michele Ribecai		Max Houkes

	1	2
			Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.65
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.11)	1.63 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
43%

Max Houkes
57%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michele Ribecai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Max Houkes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Michele Ribecai - Max Houkes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ribecai (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Houkes (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Users Predictions: Max Houkes will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ribecai is ranked ATP: 288., and Houkes is ranked ATP: 205..

Ribecai has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Houkes is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Houkes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Houkes in today's match, at odds of 1.71.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
20.10.26	Michele Ribecai - Jacopo Vasami	Vasami J. Retired ✺
13.10.26	Michele Ribecai - Radu Mihai Papoe	0:2 ✺
09.10.26	Michele Ribecai - Jonas Forejtek	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Zdenek Kolar - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Michele Ribecai - Benito Sanchez Martinez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 ?LLWW
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
19.10.26	Franco Agamenone - Max Houkes	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.10.26	Max Houkes - Dev Javia	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Max Houkes - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Max Houkes - Alec Beckley	Beckley A. Retired ✺
08.10.26	Max Houkes - Manuel Plunger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWW?W

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Michele Ribecai - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	✺
25.10.26	Michele Ribecai - Filippo Romano	✺
24.10.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Michele Ribecai	✺

Michele Ribecai - Max Houkes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide