Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Michiel De Krom		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.48
	2.45	1.49
	2.42	1.47	Watch
	2.6	1.47
	2.59	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.63)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michiel De Krom
37%

Andrey Chepelev
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michiel De Krom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michiel De Krom than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Preview

De Krom is ranked ATP: 791., and Chepelev is ranked ATP: 379..

Recent results have been tough for De Krom (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Chepelev have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

De Krom may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Chepelev holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, De Krom has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Chepelev - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.46%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michiel De Krom
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Michiel De Krom - Sander Jong	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Mario Martinez Serrano - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Michiel De Krom - Pedro Rodenas	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Carles Rojas - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Michiel De Krom - Richard Zusman	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLLL
- Andrey Chepelev
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Max Wiskandt - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.09.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Andrea de Marchi - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Lorenzo Comino - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Alessandro Battiston - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.05.19	Andrey Chepelev - Michiel De Krom	2:0

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