Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Chihuahua 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Midori Castillo Meza		Valentina Mediorreal Arias

	1	2
			Watch
	1.51	2.44
	2.29	1.54	Watch
	1.47	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	2.17 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midori Castillo Meza
55.2%

Valentina Mediorreal Arias
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midori Castillo Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Midori Castillo Meza's performance.

Valentina Mediorreal Arias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valentina Mediorreal Arias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midori Castillo Meza than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Midori Castillo Meza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentina Mediorreal Arias than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valentina Mediorreal Arias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Midori Castillo Meza - Valentina Mediorreal Arias Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Castillo Meza (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Castillo Meza is ranked WTA: 1134. Mediorreal Arias is ranked WTA: 815.

Recent form of Castillo Meza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Mediorreal Arias has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Castillo Meza will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Midori Castillo Meza
ITF Tournaments
28.10.25	Midori Castillo Meza - Dalayna Hewitt	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Midori Castillo Meza - Hanne Van De Winkel	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Dasha Ivanova - Midori Castillo Meza	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin - Midori Castillo Meza	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Midori Castillo Meza - Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- Valentina Mediorreal Arias
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Despina Papamichail - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Antonia Vergara Rivera	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Maria Camila Torres Murcia	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Marjorie Souza - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW

Midori Castillo Meza - Valentina Mediorreal Arias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide