Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Jan Choinski		Miguel Damas

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.41	2.97
	1.34	2.92	Watch
	1.39	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.44)	2.92 ↑ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
68%

Miguel Damas
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Jan Choinski - Miguel Damas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jan Choinski will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 158. Damas is ranked ATP: 344.

Now, both players are in good form.

Choinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Choinski is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Miguel Damas - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Jan Choinski - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Jan Choinski - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Jan Choinski - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Jan Choinski - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW
- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Jonas Forejtek - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Ignacio Parisca - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Miguel Damas - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Miguel Damas - Sergi Perez Contri	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Miguel Damas - Yanaki Milev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW

Jan Choinski - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide