Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Mika Brunold		Alex Barrena

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.79	1.92
	1.83	2.03
	1.79	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.77	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.42)	1.93 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mika Brunold
51.8%

Alex Barrena
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mika Brunold has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mika Brunold's performance.

Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Barrena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mika Brunold than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mika Brunold that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Barrena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Mika Brunold - Alex Barrena Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Brunold will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Barrena will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brunold: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brunold is ranked ATP: 383. Barrena is ranked ATP: 170.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Brunold may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Barrena could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mika Brunold
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Mika Brunold - Georgii Kravchenko	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Mika Brunold - Timo Rosenkranz Koenig	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Miguel Damas - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.03.26	Mika Brunold - Leo Lagarrigue	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Matteo Martineau - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
20.04.26	Alex Barrena - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Alex Barrena - Igor Marcondes	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Alex Barrena - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLW

Mika Brunold - Alex Barrena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide