Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Alex Barrena		Gianluca Cadenasso

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.51	Watch
	2.54	1.56
	2.41	1.5	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2)	1.52 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
38.6%

Gianluca Cadenasso
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Barrena's form might have worsened.

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gianluca Cadenasso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alex Barrena - Gianluca Cadenasso Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barrena will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cadenasso will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrena is ranked ATP: 168. Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 232.

Barrena is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Cadenasso has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cadenasso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cadenasso is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
26.03.26	Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Alex Barrena - Igor Marcondes	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Alex Barrena - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Alex Barrena - Cannon Kingsley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW
- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Felix Gill - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Eduardo Ribeiro	Cadenasso G. Retired ✺
22.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LL?WW

Alex Barrena - Gianluca Cadenasso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide