Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Paulo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday


	Alex Barrena		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	2.13	1.78
	1.96	1.75	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.09)	1.78 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
47.7%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrena is ranked ATP: 173. Varillas is ranked ATP: 290.

In recent matches, Barrena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Varillas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Barrena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Varillas will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barrena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Alex Barrena - Igor Marcondes	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Alex Barrena - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Alex Barrena - Cannon Kingsley	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Andrea Collarini - Alex Barrena	Barrena A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWW?
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Luis Guto Miguel	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Mariano Kestelboim - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2

Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide