Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday


	Christoph Negritu		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.94	1.77	Watch
			Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.26)	1.81 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
48.9%

Matej Dodig
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christoph Negritu's performance.

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matej Dodig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christoph Negritu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matej Dodig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Christoph Negritu - Matej Dodig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Negritu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 297. Dodig is ranked ATP: 352.

Negritu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dodig is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Negritu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Negritu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
20.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Zsombor Piros	Canceled ✺
13.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
12.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Samir Hamza Reguig	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 ?LWWL
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
19.05.25	Matej Dodig - Franco Agamenone	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Matej Dodig - Andrej Nedic	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Matej Dodig - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Daniel Rincon - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Matej Dodig - Tadeas Paroulek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.01.25	Christoph Negritu - Matej Dodig	2:1

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