Match Info

Date: 26 August 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Mikael Ymer		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.7	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.42
	2.92	1.47
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.97	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.35)	1.45 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikael Ymer
34.3%

Francis Tiafoe
65.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikael Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mikael Ymer's form might have worsened.

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francis Tiafoe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikael Ymer than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.2%	0%	86.8%

Mikael Ymer - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (33 of 38 users predict this - 86.84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.09% – 97.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ymer is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tiafoe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ymer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tiafoe will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ymer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikael Ymer
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.21	Max Purcell - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
24.08.21	Mikael Ymer - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
22.08.21	Mikael Ymer - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
29.07.21	Casper Ruud - Mikael Ymer	2:1 ✺
28.07.21	Mikael Ymer - Alexander Erler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.21	Francis Tiafoe - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
24.08.21	Francis Tiafoe - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.21	Francis Tiafoe - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
17.08.21	Francis Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
12.08.21	Gael Monfils - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
13.01.20	Mikael Ymer - Francis Tiafoe	2:1
ATP Next Gen Finals
07.11.19	Francis Tiafoe - Mikael Ymer	3:0

Mikael Ymer - Francis Tiafoe