Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday


	Francis Tiafoe		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.34
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)	2.22 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
57.2%

Ugo Humbert
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48%	0%	52%

Francis Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Humbert will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 2 - 40%). Humbert (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Humbert (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Humbert (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 14. Humbert is ranked ATP: 25.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tiafoe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.67%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
03.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
25.07.25	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Emilio Nava - Ugo Humbert	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Gael Monfils - Ugo Humbert	3:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
27.06.25	Ugo Humbert - Jenson Brooksby	1:2 ✺
26.06.25	Billy Harris - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Francis Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert	2:0
ATP Delray Beach
21.02.20	Francis Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert	0:2
ATP Next Gen Finals
06.11.19	Francis Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert	3:1

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