Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: GSTAAD (SWITZERLAND), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 July 2023, Tuesday


	Mikael Ymer		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.94	1.86
	1.96	1.85
	2.04	1.85
	2	1.8
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	1.93	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.08)	1.84 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikael Ymer
48.3%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikael Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikael Ymer than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mikael Ymer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.4%	0%	96.6%

Mikael Ymer - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (28 of 29 users predict this - 96.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.91% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikael Ymer
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Mikael Ymer	3:2 ✺
06.07.23	Mikael Ymer - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:2 ✺
03.07.23	Mikael Ymer - Alex Molcan	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
29.06.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Mikael Ymer	2:1 ✺
28.06.23	Liam Broady - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWLW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
12.07.23	Elias Ymer - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
10.07.23	Federico Delbonis - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	3:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
04.06.23	Novak Djokovic - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	3:0 ✺
02.06.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Hubert Hurkacz	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLW

Mikael Ymer - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide