Match Info

Date: 20 October 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Mikael Ymer		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	2.02	1.8
	1.94	1.81
	2.02	1.89
	2	1.8
	2.03	1.79	Watch
	1.97	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.09)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikael Ymer
47.8%

Tommy Paul
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikael Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikael Ymer than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18%	0%	82%

Mikael Ymer - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (50 of 61 users predict this - 81.97%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.32% – 91.62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Ymer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Paul to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ymer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikael Ymer
ATP Stockholm
18.10.22	Quentin Halys - Mikael Ymer	1:2 ✺
ATP Florence
15.10.22	Jeffrey John Wolf - Mikael Ymer	2:0 ✺
14.10.22	Mikael Ymer - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
12.10.22	Aslan Karatsev - Mikael Ymer	1:2 ✺
11.10.22	Tim Van Rijthoven - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Stockholm
18.10.22	Leo Borg - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
ATP Gijon
14.10.22	Andrey Rublev - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
12.10.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
10.10.22	Martin Landaluce - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.22	Tommy Paul - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Moscow
19.10.21	Tommy Paul - Mikael Ymer	2:0
ATP Challenger
15.11.17	Tommy Paul - Mikael Ymer	2:1

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